Swine Flu Could Infect a Third of the World’s Population

May 12, 2009

(ChattahBox)—British researchers are predicting that one in three people, worldwide could become infected with the Swine Flu, as the quickly spreading influenza virus has “full pandemic potential.” With the upcoming fall flu season, the Swine Flu is expected to go global infecting the entire world within six to nine months, according to the researchers.

Lead researcher Professor Neil Ferguson, who sits on the World Health Organization’s emergency flu committee, conducted a study using data from Mexico’s Swine Flu outbreak through the end of April. Ferguson concluded from his study that the Swine Flu epidemic is similar to the flu outbreak in 1957 that killed 2 million people. He said it doesn’t appear to be as deadly as the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, which took 50 million lives.

Based on his findings, the Swine Flu has the potential of killing four out of every 1,000 infected individuals. This finding suggests the Swine Flu is more severe than a normal influenza outbreak, but not as deadly as the Spanish Flu pandemic.

Ferguson noted the “normal” flu affects nearly 10 percent of the world’s population. Whereas, the Swine Flu has the potential of infecting nearly 30 percent of the world’s population.

To date, WHO has confirmed 5,251 Swine Flu cases in 30 countries with 61 deaths.

With a potential pandemic developing during the autumn flu season, professor Ferguson warns, the world needs to act fast in developing a Swine Flu vaccine. And also has to soon make a decision, whether to cease production of a standard seasonal flu vaccine or concentrate instead on a Swine Flu vaccine.

Professor Ferguson’s study is available in the Journal of Science.



One Response to “Swine Flu Could Infect a Third of the World’s Population”

  1. Angie on May 14th, 2009 2:57 am

    I saw this report here as well that at the current rate, about 1/3 of the world will get swine flu: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/may/12/swine-flu-report-pandemic-predicted It sounds quite alarming. What should we do to prevent?

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