Tea Party Candidates Projected to Succeed—in Districts Where ‘Any Republican’ Would Win

October 15, 2010

(ChattahBox Political News) — Election day is less than three weeks away, and Tea Party candidates appear to be picking up steam, with analysts predicting that those candidates could win approximately 33 House seats and eight in the Senate, which would be enough to make the Tea Party’s voice heard in Washington. However, the Tea Party isn’t necessarily poised to overhaul the face of Congress—in fact, their candidates are only expected to win in districts where GOP candidates would traditionally succeed, according to the New York Times.“For the most part, Tea Party candidates are doing well in areas where any Republican would be expected to do well,” The Times reports. “There does not appear to be any case where a Tea Party candidate has helped make a Democratic-leaning district more competitive for Republicans.”

Tea Party candidates are vying for almost half of the available House seats and one-third of those in the Senate, but most of those candidates are running in Democratic districts where they are not expected to win.

What remains unclear is whether the Tea Party candidates have provided additional benefits to Republicans’ odds, or whether those candidates have had a detrimental effect on voter decision. Although the answer to that question won’t be revealed until election day, current polls “suggest that in the Senate, the hurt may outweigh the help,” The Times noted.


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