Unresolved Issue: Who Will Run Against Obama in 2012?

December 29, 2010

(ChattahBox Op/Ed News) – As I look to clean up issues that are hanging over from the 111th Congress, this one is actually not a Congressional issue at all and in fact may seem like an odd issue at first glance. As of now, and for the first time that I can remember in many, many years, there is not an announced candidate for the Presidency after the mid-term elections.  What I find so odd about that is a simple matter of fundraising.  The first serious candidates do have a fundraising advantage and with no one clearly as a front runner or out there actively raising cash it makes one wonder why.

According to most political prognosticators the list of potential Republicans considering a run are:

  • Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, who is also head of the Republican Governors Association.
  • Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, who is a favorite of fiscally conservative Republicans.
  • Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, spearhead of the 1994 “Republican Revolution,” who recently said, “I’m much more inclined to run than not to run.”
  • Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, a 2008 candidate and current Fox talk show host.
  • Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, whose profile was damaged by a lackluster response to Obama’s first address to a joint session of Congress but heightened by the Gulf oil disaster.
  • Texas Rep. Ron Paul, whose libertarian ideals are embraced by the Tea Party.
  • Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, who opted against a re-election run for a third term and will leave office in January.
  • Indiana Sen. Mike Pence, who like Palin and DeMint criss-crossed the country this year in support of Republican candidates.
  • Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, a 2008 candidate and still the favorite of the Republican establishment.
  • Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who lost his re-election bid four years ago but has spent his time out of office appearing for conservative causes.
  • South Dakota Sen. John Thune, whose Midwestern roots could help in neighboring Iowa, which holds the country’s first nominating contest.

Honestly, there is no one name there that sets my hair on fire, and you’ll notice as well that I haven’t included Sarah Palin as I really don’t believe she will run for the Presidency when all is said and done. Her favorability ratings are not getting better and her extreme views will not resonate with the electorate when it matters.  She can actually effect more change by doing what she is doing and I honestly believe she loves the money she is now making more than the power she may have and seriously, there is just no way the country would elect here and the Republican party would have no issues slamming her if they were forced to, and they would be.

If President Obama is smart, and I have a feeling he might be in spite of  my recent displeasure of him, if he can harness the Democratic Party and get his message and action in line with what he knows American wants and needs, reelection may be an easier path then first thought.

But, with all that now said that not one Republican has yet to announce bothers me more than it should and I cannot pinpoint why.  Maybe it will become clearer as the first quarter of 2011 commences, but the 2012 political season is already in play and no one has showed up yet.  Interesting.

. Tony Trupiano is a former national syndicated progressive radio talk show host, author, and a former candidate for Congress. He is also a nationally recognized media trainer.  He can be reached at tony@mediatony.com and can read his Blog at http://www.mediatraining.me


3 Responses to “Unresolved Issue: Who Will Run Against Obama in 2012?”

  1. Kev on December 29th, 2010 12:53 pm

    Here’s my two cents on this: Sarah Palin is a former beauty pageant contestant, not an actual leader. True public policy is not part of her DNA (like that’s news). She seeks public attention, and since 2008 she has found that she can parlay public attention into money. She understands that the longer she can keep the press’s attention, she can extend her fifteen minutes and keep the money generator going. As long as she suspends an announcement, and I think she already knows that she’s not running, then the press and public will maintain their attention on her. So she’s posturing right now.
    I wonder if Rebublican contenders can see this (it is politics, after all, this is the kind of subtle stuff they deal in) and due to her public stature right now, want to avoid the Palin question, and so they are waiting. So far, SHE is the only “potential” 2010 candidate and the first guy in doesn’t want to be asked about her. They could be waiting out her eventual decline, which has begun, or for a sudden flurry of contenders throwing their hats in.

  2. Trupiano on December 29th, 2010 1:42 pm


  3. KiraIsJustice on December 29th, 2010 4:08 pm

    You forgot Gary Johnson, who most commentators believe is preparing for a run, and who will definitely run if Ron Paul doesn’t.

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