New Report Sounds the Alarm on Global Warming

July 28, 2009

(ChattahBox)—A new study on global warming is predicting an alarming rise in temperatures over the next five-years that should put an end to global warming deniers who point to periods of cooler weather, as evidence that human influences play no role in climate change.

The study was conducted by Judith Lean, of the US Naval Research Laboratory, and David Rind, of Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. Their research analyzed several combined factors to assess global warming, human influences such as CO2, heating from the sun; volcanic activity and the El Niño southern oscillation.

The study shows that the relatively stable temperatures experienced around the globe for the past seven years are the results of the downward phase of the 11-year solar cycle combined with weak El Niño events. But that is all about to change, setting off a period of accelerated global warming at a more rapid pace.

With the advent of a new El Niño warm spell ahead and an expected increase in solar activity, temperatures could reach a new high of 150 percent of the rate predicted by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

The study will be published in Geophysical Research Letters.

Source


Comments

8 Responses to “New Report Sounds the Alarm on Global Warming”

  1. New Report Sounds the Alarm on Global Warming - Chattahbox.com | Build Solar Power Systems on July 28th, 2009 3:03 pm

    […] Post By Google News Click Here For The Entire Article Build Solar Power System-DIY Solar Panel […]

  2. New Report Sounds the Alarm on Global Warming - Chattahbox.com | Build Solar Power Systems Reviews on July 28th, 2009 4:24 pm

    […] Post By Google News Click Here For The Entire Article Build Solar Power System-DIY Solar Panel […]

  3. Eve on July 28th, 2009 11:35 pm

    What climate model is being used to forecast warming in the next 5 years? The same one that predicted we would all be roasting to death by now? Instead we are freezing, in the summer. The one that predicted more and stronger hurricanes when the number of hurricanes still has not passed the 1950 level? There could be some good in climate models. Climate scientists could take the ones that were used in the 80’s and 90’s, plug in the actual climate data that happened, run them again and find out where they went wrong. This would be a way of learning about the climate and making future climate models better. Alas, even with 79 Million dollars spent on climate research, do you think any of those climate scientists could have kept a model? No. This is all just a big joke.

  4. Brad Arnold on July 29th, 2009 2:34 am

    It is the rate of warming that matters most, because adaptive capacity decreases rapidly with an increasing rate of climate change (Leemans and Eickhout 2004). While only 15% of ecosystems die at .3 C/decade, all ecosystems are quickly destroyed if the rate of warming exceeds .4 C/decade.

    Here is what Climate Code Red says:

    –Human emissions have so far produced a global average temperature increase of 0.8 degree C.

    –There is another 0.6 degree C. to come due to “thermal inertia”, or lags in the system, taking the total long-term global warming induced by human emissions so far to 1.4 degree C.

    –If human total emissions continue as they are to 2030 (and don’t increase 60% as projected) this would likely add more than 0.4 degrees C. to the system in the next two decades, taking the long-term effect by 2030 to at least 1.7 degrees C. (A 0.3 degree C. increase is predicted for the period 2004-2014 alone by Smith, Cusack et al, 2007).

    –Then add the 0.3 degree C. albedo flip effect from the now imminent loss of the Arctic sea ice, and the rise in the system by 2030 is at least 2 degree. C, assuming very optimistically that emissions don’t increase at all above their present annual rate! When we consider the potential permafrost releases and the effect of carbon sinks losing capacity, we are on the road to a hellish future, not for what we will do, but WHAT WE HAVE ALREADY DONE.

    We’ve been warming up at about .2 C/decade for awhile now, and it is predicted that the next decade will warming up at least at .3 C/decade. Add to that more heat being transferred from the ocean to the air, and increased solar energy, and it beginning to look like our ecosystems will be quickly destroyed starting this decade if no geoengineering is done.

  5. MrCannuckistan on July 29th, 2009 8:50 am

    Brad,

    Don’t believe everything you read at Climate Code Red. Let’s start with some data. The MET office in the UK says since 1850 the planet’s temperature has gone up by 0.8c. ( http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/science/monitoring/ ) This has happened over 16 decades. So therefore the warming is 0.05c/decade. But wait, everyone agrees that man didn’t really start to pump out any significant level of emissions until after WWII. Benefit of the doubt goes to the warmer and we say from 1940 on. According to the MET office we have experienced 0.4c in the 7 decades since then. That works out to a 0.057c/decade. Even if I played with the data points I still only get 0.1c/decade from 1950 to today. Half of what they say we have already done.

    As for all the other guesses about how the climate is going to respond to minor increases in trace GHGs, the GCMs are a far cry from evidence.

    MrC

  6. Rmoen on July 29th, 2009 10:00 am

    The root of the climate change problem? We’re letting the United Nations decide what is best for America. And they’re failing us.

    The premise that CO2 drives global warming is based on United Nations’ climate reports that are tainted by politics and an agenda. The reports don’t pass the smell test — see http://energyplanusa.com/ipcc_reports_dont_pass_smell_test.htm . Plus, there’s been many new climate discoveries since the UN’s 1997 Kyoto Protocol that are largely omitted from the reports because, I think, they undercut Kyoto.

    America needs our own scientific assessment of global warming. I am a Democrat who for the past 20 years believed global warming was caused by CO2. But now after reading the UN reports I suspect the fix was in. The UN climate reports contain much good science, but in the end, the UN is a political organization where politics trumps science. We in the United States need our own objective, transparent climate commission to think through global warming. …before we burden our economy with expensive energy.

    Robert Moen, http://www.energyplanUSA.com

  7. Ken on July 29th, 2009 10:36 am

    I love how the alarmists are always trying to “put an end” to any discussion about the cause, or even the existence, of climate change. This is not settled by a long shot. There are many credible scientists who question these conclusions.

  8. Bobiscold on July 29th, 2009 4:31 pm

    Let’s take this baby right down to the chicken wire and see who is willing to put their money where their mouth is. My ranch against yours that the temps remain essentially the same or decrease. None of the members of this religion are willing to have an open debate, let us have a look at the data going into their bogus models or will put money on their phoney claims. They love taking our money to serve their Masters by churning out this BS. They will be the first to go when the Marxists take over as always. There are never any fingerprints left behind.

Got something to say? **Please Note** - Comments may be edited for clarity or obscenity, and all comments are published at the discretion of ChattahBox.com - Comments are the opinions of the individuals leaving them, and not of ChattahBox.com or its partners. - Please do not spam or submit comments that use copyright materials, hearsay or are based on reports where the supposed fact or quote is not a matter of public knowledge are also not permitted.